Friday, July 01, 2011

Daily Market Analysis - Friday, 1 July 2011

Thursday, 30 June 2011 AMC

Dow12,414.34+152.92+1.25%
Chart for Dow



Nasdaq2,773.52+33.03+1.21%
Chart for Nasdaq


S&P 5001,320.64+13.23+1.01%
Chart for S&P 500

Russell 2000827.430.000.00%
Chart for Russell 2000



Friday, 1 Jul 2011 Economic Data 

9:55amUSD
Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment
72.0
71.8
9:55amUSD
Revised UoM Inflation Expectations

4.0%
10:00amUSD
ISM Manufacturing PMI
51.9
53.5
10:00amUSD
Construction Spending m/m
0.1%
0.4%
10:00amUSD
ISM Manufacturing Prices
72.3
76.5
All DayUSD
Total Vehicle Sales
12.0M
11.8M



Technical Analysis


Summary
To recapped from Almanac :

  1. First trading day usually gains more than all others days for DOW, 1 Jul Scalp long DIA
  2. July is the best month of the 3rd quarter

Market been rally since Monday, bull might be exhaust - $DJI up 497.76 points in 4 days (highest since begin of 2011.) But it could be a cover of points from the losses from early June (-520.85 points in the first 8 trading days of Jun)
Day Traders closing their position to profit take.
ISM data bearish forecast
5th candle reversal (3 patterns of 5th candle reversal in 2011)
1 Pattern of 8 consecutive bullish trading days in 2011 (31 Jan to 9 Feb)


Market Direction for Friday, 1 July 2011 : Up


Accuracy : (2/3)

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