Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Daily Market Analysis - Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Tuesday 12 July, 2011 AMC


Dow12,446.88-58.88-0.47%
Chart for Dow

Nasdaq2,781.91-20.71-0.74%
Chart for Nasdaq

S&P 5001,313.64-5.85-0.44%
Chart for S&P 500

Russell 2000829.770.000.00%
Chart for Russell 2000

Tuesday 12 July, 2011 Economic Data


8:30amUSD
Trade Balance
-50.2B
-44.1B
-43.6B
10:00amUSD
IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism
41.4
45.7
44.6
2:00pmUSD
FOMC Meeting Minutes



Sectors Performance
  

What move the market 
 FOMC minutes note talk, but only talk, of further quantitative easing

Ireland's debt gets downgraded; causes more whipsaw action in the euro
U.S. trade deficit widens more than expected in May
Alcoa (AA) starts earnings season on an underwhelming note


Read more: http://briefing.com/investor/markets/stock-market-update/#ixzz1RxSnq1xD


Commodities


Treasury Yield


Notable Earnings
 July 12, 2011

Before The OpenTickerActualConsensusYr AgoYr/Yr Rev
Conference Call (Telephone)FastenalFAST0.320.310.4722.8%
Conference Call (Telephone)InfosysINFY30.14d30.420.5720.8%Guidance Downside
Conference Call (Telephone)WolverineWWW0.480.460.3920.1%
After The CloseTickerActualConsensusYr AgoYr/Yr Rev
Conference Call (Telephone)Exco ResourcesXCO
0.160.11
Healthcare Services GroupHCSG0.150.150.209.6%


Read more: http://www.briefing.com/investor/calendars/earnings/2011/07/12/#ixzz1RxVuXsy6


Technical Updates


Wednesday 13 July, 2011 BMO


Wednesday 13 July, 2011 Economic Data 


Up Next 8:30amUSD
Import Prices m/m
-0.7%
0.2%
10:00amUSD
Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies

10:30amUSD
Crude Oil Inventories
-2.3M
-0.9M
2:00pmUSD
Federal Budget Balance
-68.0B
-57.6B


News
  •  U.S. stocks closed near their lows of the session Tuesday after Moody’s downgraded Ireland’s debt to junk status, erasing a small rally triggered by minutes of the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting.
  • China’s economy expanded a fraction faster than expected in the April-to-June quarter, while other data released Wednesday suggested domestic conditions remain relatively upbeat, even as concerns spread over the resilience of the global economic
  • China should increase the country's interest rates further to alleviate negative real interest rates, a government think tank said Wednesday.
  • Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke is in the hot seat before a Congressional panel Wednesday, as markets keep a watchful eye on headlines from Europe and debt ceiling talks in Washington.
  • "This talk about QE3 (a third round of quantitative easing), based on the minutes, is very much overwrought," said Pierpont Securities chief economist Stephen Stanley. "It was a classic 'on the one hand, on the other hand' passage. It seems to be crafted very carefully to be even handed," he said. The Fed ended QE2, a program to buy $600 billion in Treasury securities just after that June 22 meeting, and it has signaled a high threshold for any further easing.
  • Stanley said Bernanke will likely dodge questions on taxation and deficit reduction, topics about which Republicans and Democrats disagree. "I think he'll avoid commenting on any special programs. He very much was on record arguing we should have a clean debt ceiling release," Stanley said. Congress is working towards an agreement ahead of the Aug. 2 deadline to raise the U.S. debt ceiling.


Earnings
 July 13, 2011

Before The OpenTickerActualConsensusYr AgoYr/Yr Rev
Conference Call (Telephone)ADTRANADTN
0.540.44
ASML HoldingASML
0.940.54
CAECAE
0.160.15
After The CloseTickerActualConsensusYr AgoYr/Yr Rev
Conference Call (Telephone)MarriottMAR
0.370.31
Conference Call (Telephone)Universal ForestUFPI
0.150.83
Conference Call (Telephone)YUM! BrandsYUM
0.610.58


Read more: http://www.briefing.com/investor/calendars/earnings/2011/07/13/#ixzz1RxklXpmn


Almanac


Summary
  • Much focus will be on "Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies" today. 
  • 4th candle reversal
  • Uncertainty
  • I like 6/9 - market finding something or anything or slightest piece of good news to rally. 


Market Direction : Up

Accuracy : (6/9)

PS: Greatest Trade of all times - http://www.cnbc.com/id/43713770?slide=1

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